CANADIAN DOLLAR FORECAST, March 2020

USD/CAD Forecast
Bank Trend Q1 2020 January 2020 February 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
CIBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
TD 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BNS 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
RBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BMO 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
Average 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600

Summary

The closure of non-essential business across the country will have large economic consequences. At present, most believe Canadian economic activity will fall by 28% in Q2 as these measures are felt. Assuming a return to more normal operating conditions by the end of Q2, Canadian GDP is expected to fall 4.1% this year followed by a rebound of 5.1% in 2021. The Saudi-Russia oil spat isn't helping either. WTI oil prices will continue to play a heavy hand in the direction of the CAD.

EUR/CAD Forecast
Bank Trend Q1 2020 January 2020 February 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
CIBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
TD 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BNS 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
RBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BMO 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
Average 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600

Summary

The closure of non-essential business across the country will have large economic consequences. At present, most believe Canadian economic activity will fall by 28% in Q2 as these measures are felt. Assuming a return to more normal operating conditions by the end of Q2, Canadian GDP is expected to fall 4.1% this year followed by a rebound of 5.1% in 2021. The Saudi-Russia oil spat isn't helping either. WTI oil prices will continue to play a heavy hand in the direction of the CAD.

GBP/CAD Forecast
Bank Trend Q1 2020 January 2020 February 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020
CIBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
TD 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BNS 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
RBC 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
BMO 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600
Average 1.3200 1.3400 1.3400 1.3600 1.3600

Summary

The closure of non-essential business across the country will have large economic consequences. At present, most believe Canadian economic activity will fall by 28% in Q2 as these measures are felt. Assuming a return to more normal operating conditions by the end of Q2, Canadian GDP is expected to fall 4.1% this year followed by a rebound of 5.1% in 2021. The Saudi-Russia oil spat isn't helping either. WTI oil prices will continue to play a heavy hand in the direction of the CAD.

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